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France Cluster17: Poll for the French National Assembly Election from September 7, 2025

Strongest Force
4.0 points ahead of NFP
Government Majority
No Majority
164 of 577 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2029
estimated

French Voting Intention Poll for the National Assembly Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Cluster17: poll for the French National Assembly election, fieldwork concluded September 7, 2025.

Changes since the last election on June 30, 2024

RN
29.0
-0.2
NFP
25.0
-3.0
EN
14.0
-6.0
LR
13.0
+6.4
DVG
5.5
+4.0
REC
4.0
+3.3
DVD
2.0
-1.7
DLF
1.5
+1.5
LO
1.0
+1.0
Other
5.0
Institute
Cluster17
Client
N/A
Survey Period
September 5, 2025 – September 7, 2025
Respondents
1,133
France's current government lacks a majority.

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 28.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Cluster17?

A recent voting intention poll for France by Cluster17 shows Rassemblement national leading with 29%, followed by NFP with 25%, Ensemble with 14%, Les Républicains with 13%, Divers gauche with 5.5%, Reconquête with 4%, Divers droite with 2%, Debout la France with 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière with 1%. Other parties achieve 5% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Cluster17: how reliable is the projection?

49 PolitPro Score Rank 8 of 8 in France
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 60.1
Avg. deviation in elections
3.1 pp

3 election comparisons

Recorded polls
32

Last on September 7, 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

In France, seats are allocated via a majority voting system. As polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, precise constituency results are unavailable, making a reliable seat distribution calculation impossible.

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