These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

ELABE

N/A

September 11, 2021 - September 13, 2021

1200 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the ELABE projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 46.1% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from ELABE?

The latest national poll in France by ELABE reveals Ensemble leads with 26%, followed by Rassemblement national: 23%, Les Républicains: 16%, La France insoumise: 8%, Les Verts: 7%, Parti socialiste: 6% and Debout la France: 5%. Other parties secure 9% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the ELABE Projection?

PolitPro Score

ELABE achieved a PolitPro Score of 62 out of 100.

2.2

Election Accuracy

On average, ELABE's figures deviate by 2.2 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Ensemble

In 22% of polls, ELABE rated Ensemble higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Rassemblement national

In 33% of polls, ELABE rated Rassemblement national higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Ensemble

In 22% of polls, ELABE rated Ensemble lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Les Républicains

In 45% of polls, ELABE rated Les Républicains lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates NFP

In 43% of polls, ELABE rated NFP lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Rassemblement national

In 21% of polls, ELABE rated Rassemblement national lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reconquête

In 38% of polls, ELABE rated Reconquête lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

ELABE at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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