Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in France (ELABE, August 29, 2025)

August 28, 2025 - August 29, 2025

1678 respondents

Next General election in France: 2029

The next General election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the ELABE projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 25.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Current Election Trend: France
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the ELABE Projection?

65

PolitPro Score

ELABE achieved a PolitPro Score of 65 out of 100.

2.3

Election Accuracy

On average, ELABE's figures deviate by 2.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

ELABE at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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