PolitPro

France ELABE: election poll for the legislative election in France from 29 August 2025

Strongest Force
8.0 points ahead of NFP
Election year
2029
estimated

Voting intention poll for the legislative election in France

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. ELABE: single poll for the legislative election in France, fieldwork ended 29 August 2025.

Changes since the last election on 30 June 2024

RN
31.5
+2.3
NFP
23.5
-4.5
EN
14.0
-6.0
LR
10.5
+3.9
DVG
6.5
+5.0
REC
5.0
+4.3
DVD
2.5
-1.2
EXG
2.0
+0.9
Other
4.5
Institute
ELABE
Client
N/A
Survey Period
28/08/2025 – 29/08/2025
Respondents
1,678
Current government in France falls short of a majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 25.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by ELABE?

A recent voting intention poll for France by ELABE shows Rassemblement national leading with 31.5%, followed by NFP with 23.5%, Ensemble with 14%, Les Républicains with 10.5%, Divers gauche with 6.5%, Reconquête with 5%, Divers droite with 2.5% and Extrême gauche with 2%. Other parties achieve 4.5% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

ELABE: how reliable is the projection?

68 PolitPro Score Rank 4 of 9 in France
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 65.0
Avg. deviation in elections
1.7 pp

3 election comparisons

Recorded polls
24

Last on 29 August 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

In France, seats are allocated via a majority voting system. As polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, precise constituency results are unavailable, making a reliable seat distribution calculation impossible.

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