These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ifop-Fiducial

N/A

June 22, 2024 - June 26, 2024

2343 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the Ifop-Fiducial projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 28.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ifop-Fiducial?

In the latest opinion poll for the French election, conducted by Ifop-Fiducial on June 26, 2024, Rassemblement national leads with 36%. The other contenders include NFP: 28.5%, Ensemble: 21%, Les Républicains: 6%, Divers centre: 1%, Divers gauche: 1%, Extrême gauche: 1% and Reconquête: 1%. Other parties secure 4.5% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ifop-Fiducial Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ifop-Fiducial achieved a PolitPro Score of 51 out of 100.

4.0

Election Accuracy

On average, Ifop-Fiducial's figures deviate by 4.0 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Ensemble

In 29% of polls, Ifop-Fiducial rated Ensemble higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates NFP

In 70% of polls, Ifop-Fiducial rated NFP higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Rassemblement national

In 28% of polls, Ifop-Fiducial rated Rassemblement national higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reconquête

In 21% of polls, Ifop-Fiducial rated Reconquête lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ifop-Fiducial at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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