These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ipsos

N/A

December 6, 2021 - December 8, 2021

1500 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the Ipsos projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 42.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ipsos?

The latest national poll in France by Ipsos reveals Ensemble leads with 25%, followed by Les Républicains: 16%, Rassemblement national: 16%, Reconquête: 14%, La France insoumise: 8%, Les Verts: 7%, Parti socialiste: 5%, Parti communiste français: 2%, Debout la France: 1.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste: 1.5% and Résistons!: 1%. Other parties secure 3% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ipsos Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieved a PolitPro Score of 51 out of 100.

3.4

Election Accuracy

On average, Ipsos's figures deviate by 3.4 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Ensemble

In 29% of polls, Ipsos rated Ensemble higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Rassemblement national

In 25% of polls, Ipsos rated Rassemblement national higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Les Républicains

In 74% of polls, Ipsos rated Les Républicains lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Rassemblement national

In 25% of polls, Ipsos rated Rassemblement national lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reconquête

In 26% of polls, Ipsos rated Reconquête lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ipsos at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

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