These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

OpinionWay

N/A

June 18, 2024 - June 20, 2024

1057 respondents

Next Legislative Election in France: 2029

The next Legislative Election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the OpinionWay projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 27.9% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from OpinionWay?

In the latest opinion poll for the French election, conducted by OpinionWay on June 20, 2024, Rassemblement national leads with 35%. The other contenders include NFP: 27%, Ensemble: 20%, Les Républicains: 7%, Divers droite: 2%, Divers gauche: 2%, Reconquête: 2%, Les Verts: 1% and Extrême gauche: 0.5%. Other parties secure 3.5% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: France

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the OpinionWay Projection?

PolitPro Score

OpinionWay achieved a PolitPro Score of 65 out of 100.

2.1

Election Accuracy

On average, OpinionWay's figures deviate by 2.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Divers droite

In 20% of polls, OpinionWay rated Divers droite higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Divers droite

In 40% of polls, OpinionWay rated Divers droite lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

OpinionWay at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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