Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in France (OpinionWay, June 20, 2024)

June 18, 2024 - June 20, 2024

1057 respondents

Next General election in France: 2029

The next General election in France is expected in 2029.

Incumbent Government in France Without a Majority

Based on the OpinionWay projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 27.9% of the parliamentary seats.

Current Election Trend: France
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in France

Quality Check: How Reliable is the OpinionWay Projection?

71

PolitPro Score

OpinionWay achieved a PolitPro Score of 71 out of 100.

2.0

Election Accuracy

On average, OpinionWay's figures deviate by 2.0 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

OpinionWay at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

France employs a majority electoral system for seat allocation. Since polls primarily gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is not possible. Consequently, a reliable seat distribution cannot be calculated.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.