France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Ipsos from 17.01.2022

Polling data

EN
25.0
-1.0
LR
15.5
-0.5
RN
15.5
-1.5
REC
13.0
+1.0
LFI
8.0
-1.0
EELV
7.0
-1.0
PS
3.5
+3.5
PCF
2.5
+0.5
DLF
2.0
+0.5
NPA
1.5
+0.5
R!
1.0
±0.0
LO
0.5
-0.5
Sonst.
5.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-13.6
LR
+8.5
RN
-1.8
REC
LFI
EELV
PS
PCF
DLF
NPA
R!
LO
Ipsos – 12542 respondents – 14.01.2022-17.01.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Ipsos shows the following results: Ensemble 25%, Les Républicains 15.5%, Rassemblement national 15.5%, Reconquête 13%, La France insoumise 8%, Les Verts 7%, Parti socialiste 3.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5%, Résistons! 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.5 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 26.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 12542 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (14.01.2022 - 17.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
9
LO
3
LFI
49
PCF
15
PS
21
EELV
43
EN
152
LR
94
R!
6
RN
94
DLF
12
REC
79
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Rassemblement national
340
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
325
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
295
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts
289

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 14.01.2022 and 17.01.2022 among 12542 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25%, Les Républicains 15.5%, Rassemblement national 15.5%, Reconquête 13%, La France insoumise 8%, Les Verts 7%, Parti socialiste 3.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5%, Résistons! 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.