France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by ELABE from 02.02.2022

Polling data

EN
25.0
+1.0
RN
16.5
±0.0
LR
16.0
-1.0
REC
12.5
+1.0
LFI
9.5
+0.5
EELV
4.5
-1.0
DLF
2.5
+0.5
PCF
2.5
±0.0
PS
2.0
-0.5
R!
1.0
-1.0
NPA
0.5
-0.5
UPR
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-13.6
RN
-0.8
LR
+9.0
REC
LFI
EELV
DLF
PCF
PS
R!
NPA
UPR
ELABE – 1508 respondents – 31.01.2022-02.02.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from ELABE shows the following results: Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Les Républicains 16%, Reconquête 12.5%, La France insoumise 9.5%, Les Verts 4.5%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Résistons! 1%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 26.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ELABE. For this purpose, 1508 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (31.01.2022 - 02.02.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
3
LFI
59
PCF
16
PS
13
EELV
28
UPR
3
EN
155
LR
99
R!
6
RN
102
DLF
16
REC
77
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
356
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
334
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
316
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
295
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
289
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons!
288
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Union populaire républicaine
285

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by ELABE. The survey took place between 31.01.2022 and 02.02.2022 among 1508 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Les Républicains 16%, Reconquête 12.5%, La France insoumise 9.5%, Les Verts 4.5%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Résistons! 1%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.