France: Poll by Kantar from 23.02.2022

Polling data

EN
25.0
-2.0
RN
16.5
+0.5
REC
16.5
+2.5
LR
12.0
-2.0
LFI
12.0
+2.0
EELV
4.0
-2.0
PCF
4.0
+4.0
DLF
2.5
+0.5
PS
2.0
+2.0
NPA
1.0
+1.0
R!
1.0
+1.0
LO
0.5
+0.5
UPR
0.5
+0.5
Others
2.5
-8.5
Kantar – 1500 respondents – 21.02.2022-23.02.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Kantar shows the following results: Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Reconquête 16.5%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 12%, Les Verts 4%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Résistons! 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Reconquête might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.8 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 37.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (21.02.2022 - 23.02.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
NPA
6
1%
LO
3
0.5%
LFI
71
12.3%
PCF
24
4.1%
PS
12
2.1%
EELV
24
4.1%
UPR
3
0.5%
EN
148
25.6%
LR
71
12.3%
R!
6
1%
RN
97
16.9%
DLF
15
2.6%
REC
97
16.9%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
59.4%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
54.8%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
54.8%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 21.02.2022 and 23.02.2022 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Reconquête 16.5%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 12%, Les Verts 4%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Résistons! 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.