France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Kantar from 23.02.2022

Polling data

EN
25.0
-2.0
RN
16.5
+0.5
REC
16.5
+2.5
LR
12.0
-2.0
LFI
12.0
+2.0
EELV
4.0
-2.0
PCF
4.0
+4.0
DLF
2.5
+0.5
PS
2.0
+2.0
NPA
1.0
+1.0
R!
1.0
+1.0
LO
0.5
+0.5
UPR
0.5
+0.5
Sonst.
2.5
-8.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-13.6
RN
-0.8
REC
LR
+5.0
LFI
EELV
PCF
DLF
PS
NPA
R!
LO
UPR
Kantar – 1500 respondents – 21.02.2022-23.02.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Kantar shows the following results: Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Reconquête 16.5%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 12%, Les Verts 4%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Résistons! 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 25.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (21.02.2022 - 23.02.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
6
LO
3
LFI
71
PCF
24
PS
12
EELV
24
UPR
3
EN
148
LR
71
R!
6
RN
97
DLF
15
REC
97
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
342
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
316
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
316
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
284

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 21.02.2022 and 23.02.2022 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25%, Rassemblement national 16.5%, Reconquête 16.5%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 12%, Les Verts 4%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%, Résistons! 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.