France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Cluster17 from 01.03.2022

Polling data

EN
25.5
+1.5
RN
16.0
±0.0
REC
16.0
±0.0
LFI
13.5
±0.0
LR
12.5
-0.5
EELV
4.5
±0.0
PCF
4.0
±0.0
DLF
2.0
±0.0
PS
1.5
-0.5
R!
1.0
±0.0
UPR
1.0
±0.0
LO
0.5
±0.0
NPA
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
1.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-13.1
RN
-1.3
REC
LFI
LR
+5.5
EELV
PCF
DLF
PS
R!
UPR
LO
NPA
Cluster17 – 2195 respondents – 27.02.2022-01.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: Ensemble 25.5%, Rassemblement national 16%, Reconquête 16%, La France insoumise 13.5%, Les Républicains 12.5%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5%, Résistons! 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 25.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 2195 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.02.2022 - 01.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
LO
3
NPA
3
LFI
79
PCF
24
PS
9
EELV
27
UPR
6
EN
149
LR
73
R!
6
RN
93
DLF
12
REC
93
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
335
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
321
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
315
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste
288

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 27.02.2022 and 01.03.2022 among 2195 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25.5%, Rassemblement national 16%, Reconquête 16%, La France insoumise 13.5%, Les Républicains 12.5%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 4%, Debout la France 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5%, Résistons! 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.