France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by OpinionWay from 10.03.2022

Polling data

EN
30.0
±0.0
RN
18.0
±0.0
LR
12.0
±0.0
LFI
11.0
±0.0
REC
11.0
±0.0
EELV
5.0
±0.0
PCF
4.0
±0.0
PS
3.0
±0.0
DLF
2.0
±0.0
R!
2.0
±0.0
LO
1.0
±0.0
NPA
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-8.6
RN
+0.7
LR
+5.0
LFI
REC
EELV
PCF
PS
DLF
R!
LO
NPA
OpinionWay – 1638 respondents – 07.03.2022-10.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from OpinionWay shows the following results: Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 18%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 11%, Reconquête 11%, Les Verts 5%, Parti communiste français 4%, Parti socialiste 3%, Debout la France 2%, Résistons! 2%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by OpinionWay. For this purpose, 1638 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (07.03.2022 - 10.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
LO
6
NPA
6
LFI
63
PCF
23
PS
17
EELV
29
EN
173
LR
69
R!
12
RN
104
DLF
12
REC
63
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
346
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
340
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
340
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste
305
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
300
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
300
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
294
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
289
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
289
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
288
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
288
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons!
283

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by OpinionWay. The survey took place between 07.03.2022 and 10.03.2022 among 1638 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 18%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 11%, Reconquête 11%, Les Verts 5%, Parti communiste français 4%, Parti socialiste 3%, Debout la France 2%, Résistons! 2%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.