France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Kantar from 09.03.2022

Polling data

EN
31.0
+6.0
RN
17.0
+0.5
REC
13.0
-3.5
LR
12.0
±0.0
LFI
11.0
-1.0
EELV
4.0
±0.0
DLF
3.0
+0.5
PCF
3.0
-1.0
NPA
2.0
+1.0
R!
2.0
+1.0
PS
1.5
-0.5
LO
0.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-7.6
RN
-0.3
REC
LR
+5.0
LFI
EELV
DLF
PCF
NPA
R!
PS
LO
Kantar – 1394 respondents – 07.03.2022-09.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Kantar shows the following results: Ensemble 31%, Rassemblement national 17%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 11%, Les Verts 4%, Debout la France 3%, Parti communiste français 3%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Résistons! 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 31.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1394 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.03.2022 - 09.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
12
LO
3
LFI
63
PCF
17
PS
9
EELV
23
EN
179
LR
69
R!
12
RN
98
DLF
17
REC
75
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
352
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
346
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
340
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
294
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
294
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
292
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste
291
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
289
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
286
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons!
283
Ensemble + Reconquête + Debout la France + Résistons!
283
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste + Résistons!
283

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 07.03.2022 and 09.03.2022 among 1394 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 31%, Rassemblement national 17%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 12%, La France insoumise 11%, Les Verts 4%, Debout la France 3%, Parti communiste français 3%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Résistons! 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.