France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Ipsos from 15.03.2022

Polling data

EN
30.0
±0.0
RN
15.5
-0.5
REC
13.0
±0.0
LR
11.0
±0.0
LFI
11.0
-0.5
EELV
6.0
-0.5
PCF
4.0
+0.5
PS
2.5
±0.0
DLF
2.5
+0.5
R!
2.5
+0.5
NPA
1.5
±0.0
LO
0.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-8.6
RN
-1.8
REC
LR
+4.0
LFI
EELV
PCF
PS
DLF
R!
NPA
LO
Ipsos – 1651 respondents – 11.03.2022-15.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Ipsos shows the following results: Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 15.5%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 11%, La France insoumise 11%, Les Verts 6%, Parti communiste français 4%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Debout la France 2.5%, Résistons! 2.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1651 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (11.03.2022 - 15.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
9
LO
3
LFI
64
PCF
23
PS
14
EELV
35
EN
173
LR
64
R!
14
RN
89
DLF
14
REC
75
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
337
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
326
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
326
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
300
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
300
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
299
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
295
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons! + Debout la France
290
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
286
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
286
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons!
286
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
286
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
285
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
283

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 11.03.2022 and 15.03.2022 among 1651 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 15.5%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 11%, La France insoumise 11%, Les Verts 6%, Parti communiste français 4%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Debout la France 2.5%, Résistons! 2.5%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.