France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Odoxa from 11.03.2022

Polling data

EN
29.5
+5.0
RN
19.5
+1.5
LFI
11.5
+0.5
LR
11.0
-1.0
REC
11.0
-3.0
EELV
4.5
-0.5
PCF
3.5
-1.0
R!
3.0
+1.0
DLF
2.0
±0.0
NPA
2.0
+0.5
PS
1.5
-0.5
LO
1.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-9.1
RN
+2.2
LFI
LR
+4.0
REC
EELV
PCF
R!
DLF
NPA
PS
LO
Odoxa – 1877 respondents – 09.03.2022-11.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Odoxa shows the following results: Ensemble 29.5%, Rassemblement national 19.5%, La France insoumise 11.5%, Les Républicains 11%, Reconquête 11%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Résistons! 3%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 29.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Odoxa. For this purpose, 1877 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (09.03.2022 - 11.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
12
LO
6
LFI
66
PCF
20
PS
9
EELV
26
EN
170
LR
63
R!
17
RN
113
DLF
12
REC
63
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
349
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
346
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
346
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
303
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
300
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
295
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste
291
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
288
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
285
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
285
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
283

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Odoxa. The survey took place between 09.03.2022 and 11.03.2022 among 1877 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 29.5%, Rassemblement national 19.5%, La France insoumise 11.5%, Les Républicains 11%, Reconquête 11%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Résistons! 3%, Debout la France 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 2%, Parti socialiste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.