France: Poll by Cluster17 from 16.03.2022

Polling data

EN
29.5
+1.5
RN
16.0
+1.5
LFI
14.0
+0.5
REC
12.0
-2.5
LR
10.5
-2.5
EELV
5.0
-0.5
PCF
3.5
±0.0
R!
3.0
+1.0
DLF
2.5
+0.5
PS
2.0
+0.5
NPA
1.5
+0.5
LO
0.5
-0.5
Cluster17 – 1873 respondents – 14.03.2022-16.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: Ensemble 29.5%, Rassemblement national 16%, La France insoumise 14%, Reconquête 12%, Les Républicains 10.5%, Les Verts 5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Résistons! 3%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 29.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 1873 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (14.03.2022 - 16.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NPA
9
LO
3
LFI
81
PCF
20
PS
12
EELV
29
EN
170
LR
61
R!
17
RN
92
DLF
14
REC
69
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
343
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
331
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
323
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons! + Debout la France
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Lutte Ouvrière
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Résistons! + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons!
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Parti socialiste

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 14.03.2022 and 16.03.2022 among 1873 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 29.5%, Rassemblement national 16%, La France insoumise 14%, Reconquête 12%, Les Républicains 10.5%, Les Verts 5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Résistons! 3%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.