France: Poll by BVA from 16.03.2022

Polling data

EN
30.0
±0.0
RN
18.0
+1.0
LFI
13.0
+0.5
REC
13.0
±0.0
LR
10.0
-2.0
EELV
5.5
±0.0
PCF
3.5
+0.5
PS
2.5
±0.0
DLF
2.0
+0.5
R!
1.5
±0.0
LO
0.5
±0.0
NPA
0.5
-0.5
BVA – 1505 respondents – 15.03.2022-16.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from BVA shows the following results: Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 18%, La France insoumise 13%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 10%, Les Verts 5.5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Résistons! 1.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by BVA. For this purpose, 1505 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (15.03.2022 - 16.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
LO
3
NPA
3
LFI
75
PCF
20
PS
14
EELV
32
EN
173
LR
58
R!
9
RN
104
DLF
11
REC
75
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
352
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
352
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
335
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
297
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
288
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
286

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by BVA. The survey took place between 15.03.2022 and 16.03.2022 among 1505 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 30%, Rassemblement national 18%, La France insoumise 13%, Reconquête 13%, Les Républicains 10%, Les Verts 5.5%, Parti communiste français 3.5%, Parti socialiste 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Résistons! 1.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.