France: Poll by Kantar from 23.03.2022

Polling data

EN
29.0
-2.0
RN
20.0
+3.0
LFI
14.0
+3.0
REC
11.0
-2.0
LR
10.0
-2.0
EELV
4.5
+0.5
PCF
3.0
±0.0
DLF
2.5
-0.5
PS
2.0
+0.5
R!
2.0
±0.0
LO
1.0
+0.5
NPA
1.0
-1.0
Kantar – 1388 respondents – 21.03.2022-23.03.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Kantar shows the following results: Ensemble 29%, Rassemblement national 20%, La France insoumise 14%, Reconquête 11%, Les Républicains 10%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Résistons! 2%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Reconquête might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.3 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 39.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1388 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (21.03.2022 - 23.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
6
1%
NPA
6
1%
LFI
81
14%
PCF
17
3%
PS
12
2%
EELV
26
4.5%
EN
167
29%
LR
58
10%
R!
12
2%
RN
115
20%
DLF
14
2.5%
REC
63
11%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + La France insoumise
63%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
60%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Les Républicains
59%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Parti communiste français
52%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + Résistons!
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
51.5%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Résistons!
51%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
50.5%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
49.5%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Résistons!
49.5%
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste
Ensemble + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Résistons! + Lutte Ouvrière

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 21.03.2022 and 23.03.2022 among 1388 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 29%, Rassemblement national 20%, La France insoumise 14%, Reconquête 11%, Les Républicains 10%, Les Verts 4.5%, Parti communiste français 3%, Debout la France 2.5%, Parti socialiste 2%, Résistons! 2%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and Nouveau Parti anticapitaliste 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.