France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by OpinionWay from 09.05.2022

Polling data

EN
26.0
±0.0
RN
23.0
+1.0
NUPES
23.0
+23.0
LR/UDI
12.0
+12.0
REC
5.0
-4.0
DLF
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
9.0
-32.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-12.6
RN
+5.7
NUPES
-8.6
LR/UDI
REC
DLF
OpinionWay – 3077 respondents – 05.05.2022-09.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from OpinionWay shows the following results: Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 23%, NUPES 23%, LR/UDI 12%, Reconquête 5% and Debout la France 2%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 28.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by OpinionWay. For this purpose, 3077 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (05.05.2022 - 09.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NUPES
146
EN
164
LR/UDI
76
RN
146
DLF
13
REC
32
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
310
Ensemble + NUPES
310
NUPES + Rassemblement national
292

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by OpinionWay. The survey took place between 05.05.2022 and 09.05.2022 among 3077 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 23%, NUPES 23%, LR/UDI 12%, Reconquête 5% and Debout la France 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.