France
Election trend
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Elections

France: Poll by Harris Interactive from 09.05.2022

Polling data

NUPES
28.0
+28.0
RE
26.0
+2.0
RN
24.0
+1.0
LR/UDI
9.0
+9.0
REC
6.0
-1.0
LO
3.0
+2.0
DLF
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
NUPES
-3.6
RE
-12.6
RN
+6.7
LR/UDI
REC
LO
DLF
Harris Interactive – 2406 respondents – 06.05.2022-09.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Reconquête higher
In 38% of election polls, Harris Interactive rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Harris Interactive shows the following results: NUPES 28%, Renaissance 26%, Rassemblement national 24%, LR/UDI 9%, Reconquête 6%, Lutte Ouvrière 3% and Debout la France 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. Renaissance, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jean Castex is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Renaissance and Mouvement démocrate. With 26.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Harris Interactive. For this purpose, 2406 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (06.05.2022 - 09.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

NUPES + Renaissance
55.7
NUPES + Rassemblement national
53.6
Renaissance + Rassemblement national
51.5

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.fr was conducted by Harris Interactive. The survey took place between 06.05.2022 and 09.05.2022 among 2406 eligible voters. After this election poll would get NUPES 28%, Renaissance 26%, Rassemblement national 24%, LR/UDI 9%, Reconquête 6%, Lutte Ouvrière 3% and Debout la France 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.