France: Poll by Ifop-Fiducial from 09.05.2022

Polling data

NFP
28.0
+28.0
EN
27.0
+1.0
RN
22.0
-2.0
LR/UDI
11.0
+11.0
REC
6.5
-2.5
DLF
2.0
+0.5
Others
3.5
-36.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
NFP
±0.0
EN
+7.0
RN
-7.2
LR/UDI
New
REC
+5.8
DLF
New
Ifop-Fiducial – 1691 respondents – 06.05.2022-09.05.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Ifop-Fiducial shows the following results: NFP 28%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 22%, LR/UDI 11%, Reconquête 6.5% and Debout la France 2%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Ensemble might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ifop-Fiducial. For this purpose, 1691 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (06.05.2022 - 09.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
NFP
167
29%
EN
161
28%
LR/UDI
66
11.4%
RN
132
22.8%
DLF
12
2.1%
REC
39
6.7%
NFP + Ensemble
56.8%
NFP + Rassemblement national
51.8%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
50.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ifop-Fiducial. The survey took place between 06.05.2022 and 09.05.2022 among 1691 eligible voters. After this election poll would get NFP 28%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 22%, LR/UDI 11%, Reconquête 6.5% and Debout la France 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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