France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Cluster17 from 12.05.2022

Polling data

NUPES
31.0
-3.0
EN
27.0
+2.5
RN
19.0
-0.5
LR/UDI
9.5
+9.5
REC
5.5
+0.5
DLF
2.0
+0.5
LO
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
-9.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
NUPES
-0.6
EN
-11.6
RN
+1.7
LR/UDI
REC
DLF
LO
Cluster17 – 2967 respondents – 10.05.2022-12.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: NUPES 31%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 19%, LR/UDI 9.5%, Reconquête 5.5%, Debout la France 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 28.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 2967 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.05.2022 - 12.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
LO
6
NUPES
188
EN
164
LR/UDI
58
RN
116
DLF
12
REC
33
Majority requires 289 seats
NUPES + Ensemble
352
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + LR/UDI
338
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
313
NUPES + Rassemblement national
304
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Debout la France
292

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 10.05.2022 and 12.05.2022 among 2967 eligible voters. After this election poll would get NUPES 31%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 19%, LR/UDI 9.5%, Reconquête 5.5%, Debout la France 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.