France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Ipsos from 19.05.2022

Polling data

EN
28.0
+1.5
NUPES
27.0
+27.0
RN
21.0
-1.5
UDC
9.0
+9.0
REC
6.0
-3.0
Sonst.
9.0
-33.0
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-10.6
NUPES
-4.6
RN
+3.7
UDC
REC
Ipsos – 11247 respondents – 16.05.2022-19.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Ipsos shows the following results: Ensemble 28%, NUPES 27%, Rassemblement national 21%, UDC 9% and Reconquête 6%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 30.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 11247 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.05.2022 - 19.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
NUPES
171
EN
178
UDC
57
RN
133
REC
38
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + NUPES
349
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
311
NUPES + Rassemblement national
304

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 16.05.2022 and 19.05.2022 among 11247 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 28%, NUPES 27%, Rassemblement national 21%, UDC 9% and Reconquête 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.