France: Poll by Cluster17 from 09.06.2022

Polling data

NFP
29.5
-1.5
EN
26.0
-1.0
RN
17.5
-1.5
UDC
10.5
+0.5
REC
5.5
+0.5
UPF
1.5
-0.5
LO
0.5
+0.5
Others
9.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
NFP
+1.5
EN
+6.0
RN
-11.7
UDC
New
REC
+4.8
UPF
New
LO
New
Cluster17 – 2484 respondents – 07.06.2022-09.06.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: NFP 29.5%, Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 17.5%, UDC 10.5%, Reconquête 5.5%, UPF 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Ensemble might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 2484 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.06.2022 - 09.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
3
0.5%
NFP
187
32.4%
EN
165
28.6%
UDC
67
11.5%
RN
111
19.2%
UPF
9
1.6%
REC
35
6%
NFP + Ensemble
61.0%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + UDC
59.4%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
53.9%
NFP + Rassemblement national
51.6%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + UPF
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 07.06.2022 and 09.06.2022 among 2484 eligible voters. After this election poll would get NFP 29.5%, Ensemble 26%, Rassemblement national 17.5%, UDC 10.5%, Reconquête 5.5%, UPF 1.5% and Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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