France: Poll by Ipsos from 07.06.2022

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
NFP
28.0
+0.5
EN
27.0
-1.0
RN
19.5
-0.5
UDC
11.0
±0.0
REC
6.0
+0.5
LO
1.0
±0.0
UPF
1.0
±0.0
Others
6.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
Ipsos – 2000 respondents – 06.06.2022-07.06.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Rassemblement national lower

In 46% of election polls Ipsos rates Rassemblement national lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête higher

In 32% of election polls, Ipsos rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Ipsos shows the following results: NFP 28%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 19.5%, UDC 11%, Reconquête 6%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and UPF 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Ensemble might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.06.2022 - 07.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
6
1%
NFP
172
29.8%
EN
167
28.9%
UDC
68
11.8%
RN
121
21%
UPF
6
1%
REC
37
6.4%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + UDC
61.7%
NFP + Ensemble
58.8%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + Reconquête
56.3%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national + UPF
51.0%
NFP + Rassemblement national
50.8%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
49.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 06.06.2022 and 07.06.2022 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get NFP 28%, Ensemble 27%, Rassemblement national 19.5%, UDC 11%, Reconquête 6%, Lutte Ouvrière 1% and UPF 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.