France: Poll by Harris Interactive from 10.06.2022

Polling data

EN
26.0
-1.0
NFP
26.0
+2.0
RN
20.0
-1.0
UDC
10.0
+1.0
REC
6.0
-1.0
UPF
2.0
+2.0
LO
1.0
-1.0
Others
9.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
EN
+6.0
NFP
-2.0
RN
-9.2
UDC
New
REC
+5.3
UPF
New
LO
New
Harris Interactive – 2078 respondents – 08.06.2022-10.06.2022

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Reconquête higher

In 38% of election polls, Harris Interactive rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Harris Interactive shows the following results: Ensemble 26%, NFP 26%, Rassemblement national 20%, UDC 10%, Reconquête 6%, UPF 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Ensemble might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Harris Interactive. For this purpose, 2078 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (08.06.2022 - 10.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
6
1.1%
NFP
165
28.6%
EN
165
28.6%
UDC
63
11%
RN
127
22%
UPF
13
2.2%
REC
38
6.6%
NFP + Ensemble
57.2%
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
50.6%
NFP + Rassemblement national
50.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Harris Interactive. The survey took place between 08.06.2022 and 10.06.2022 among 2078 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 26%, NFP 26%, Rassemblement national 20%, UDC 10%, Reconquête 6%, UPF 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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