France
Election trend
Parties

France: Poll by Cluster17 from 06.11.2022

Polling data

EN
25.0
-1.0
NUPES
24.5
-5.0
RN
20.0
+2.5
LR
10.5
+10.5
REC
5.0
-0.5
DLF
2.0
+2.0
LO
1.5
+1.0
Sonst.
11.5
-9.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
EN
-13.6
NUPES
-7.1
RN
+2.7
LR
+3.5
REC
DLF
LO
Cluster17 – 2096 respondents – 04.11.2022-06.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Cluster17 shows the following results: Ensemble 25%, NUPES 24.5%, Rassemblement national 20%, Les Républicains 10.5%, Reconquête 5%, Debout la France 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Les Républicains might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. Ensemble, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other from Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. With 28.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Cluster17. For this purpose, 2096 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (04.11.2022 - 06.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

577
LO
10
NUPES
160
EN
163
LR
69
RN
130
DLF
13
REC
32
Majority requires 289 seats
Ensemble + NUPES
323
Ensemble + Rassemblement national
293
NUPES + Rassemblement national
290

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Cluster17. The survey took place between 04.11.2022 and 06.11.2022 among 2096 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ensemble 25%, NUPES 24.5%, Rassemblement national 20%, Les Républicains 10.5%, Reconquête 5%, Debout la France 2% and Lutte Ouvrière 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.