France: Poll by Ifop-Fiducial from 05.07.2023

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
26.0
+5.0
EN
20.0
-5.0
LR
11.0
+11.0
PS
9.0
+9.0
EELV
9.0
+9.0
LFI
8.0
+8.0
REC
7.0
+2.0
DLF
4.0
+4.0
PCF
4.0
+4.0
LO
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-47.0
Ifop-Fiducial – 921 respondents – 04.07.2023-05.07.2023

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Ifop-Fiducial shows the following results: Rassemblement national 26%, Ensemble 20%, Les Républicains 11%, Parti socialiste 9%, Les Verts 9%, La France insoumise 8%, Reconquête 7%, Debout la France 4%, Parti communiste français 4% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Reconquête might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.3 growth since the last election. Rassemblement national, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 31.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ifop-Fiducial. For this purpose, 921 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (04.07.2023 - 05.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
LO
6
1%
LFI
47
8.1%
PCF
23
4%
PS
52
9%
EELV
52
9%
EN
117
20.3%
LR
64
11.1%
RN
152
26.3%
DLF
23
4%
REC
41
7.1%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
57.7%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
54.8%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
53.7%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Debout la France
50.6%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français
50.6%
Ensemble + Les Verts + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + Les Républicains + Les Verts + Parti socialiste
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ifop-Fiducial. The survey took place between 04.07.2023 and 05.07.2023 among 921 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 26%, Ensemble 20%, Les Républicains 11%, Parti socialiste 9%, Les Verts 9%, La France insoumise 8%, Reconquête 7%, Debout la France 4%, Parti communiste français 4% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.