France: Poll by Harris x Toluna from 10.06.2024

France: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
34.0
±0.0
NFP
22.0
±0.0
EN
19.0
±0.0
LR
9.0
±0.0
REC
4.0
±0.0
Others
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
RN
+4.8
NFP
-6.0
EN
-1.0
LR
+2.4
REC
+3.3
Harris x Toluna – 2744 respondents – 09.06.2024-10.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Harris x Toluna shows the following results: Rassemblement national 34%, NFP 22%, Ensemble 19%, Les Républicains 9% and Reconquête 4%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. NFP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 31.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Harris x Toluna. For this purpose, 2744 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (09.06.2024 - 10.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
NFP
144
25%
EN
125
21.7%
LR
59
10.2%
RN
223
38.6%
REC
26
4.5%
Rassemblement national + NFP
63.6%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
60.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Harris x Toluna. The survey took place between 09.06.2024 and 10.06.2024 among 2744 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 34%, NFP 22%, Ensemble 19%, Les Républicains 9% and Reconquête 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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