France: Poll by Ifop-Fiducial from 27.06.2024

France: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
RN
36.0
±0.0
NFP
29.0
+0.5
EN
21.0
±0.0
LR
6.5
+0.5
REC
1.5
+0.5
DVC
1.0
±0.0
DVG
1.0
±0.0
EXG
0.5
-0.5
Others
3.5
-1.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
RN
+6.8
NFP
+1.0
EN
+1.0
LR
-0.1
REC
+0.8
DVC
-0.2
DVG
-0.5
EXG
-0.6
Ifop-Fiducial – 2823 respondents – 24.06.2024-27.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Ifop-Fiducial shows the following results: Rassemblement national 36%, NFP 29%, Ensemble 21%, Les Républicains 6.5%, Reconquête 1.5%, Divers centre 1%, Divers gauche 1% and Extrême gauche 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.8 growth since the last election. Extrême gauche, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ifop-Fiducial. For this purpose, 2823 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (24.06.2024 - 27.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
EXG
3
0.5%
NFP
173
30%
DVG
6
1%
DVC
6
1%
EN
126
21.8%
LR
39
6.8%
RN
215
37.3%
REC
9
1.6%
Rassemblement national + NFP
67.2%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
59.1%
NFP + Ensemble
51.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ifop-Fiducial. The survey took place between 24.06.2024 and 27.06.2024 among 2823 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 36%, NFP 29%, Ensemble 21%, Les Républicains 6.5%, Reconquête 1.5%, Divers centre 1%, Divers gauche 1% and Extrême gauche 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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