France: Poll by Ipsos from 28.06.2024

Polling data

RN
36.0
±0.0
NFP
29.0
±0.0
EN
20.0
+0.5
LR
8.0
±0.0
DVC
1.5
±0.0
DVG
1.0
±0.0
EXG
1.0
±0.0
REC
1.0
-0.5
Others
2.5
±0.0
Ipsos – 10286 respondents – 28.06.2024-28.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in France from Ipsos shows the following results: Rassemblement national 36%, NFP 29%, Ensemble 20%, Les Républicains 8%, Divers centre 1.5%, Divers gauche 1%, Extrême gauche 1% and Reconquête 1%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.8 growth since the last election. Divers gauche, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 28.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 10286 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.06.2024 - 28.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
EXG
6
1%
NFP
172
29.7%
DVG
6
1%
DVC
9
1.5%
EN
118
20.5%
LR
47
8.2%
RN
213
36.9%
REC
6
1%
Rassemblement national + NFP
66.7%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
57.4%
NFP + Ensemble
50.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ipsos. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 28.06.2024 10286. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 36%, NFP 29%, Ensemble 20%, Les Républicains 8%, Divers centre 1.5%, Divers gauche 1%, Extrême gauche 1% and Reconquête 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.