France: Poll by ELABE from 05.06.2025

France: Polling data

RN
32.5
-3.5
NFP
21.0
-6.5
EN
15.5
-4.5
LR
10.0
+1.0
DVG
6.5
+4.5
DVD
3.5
+3.5
REC
3.0
+1.5
EXG
2.0
+1.0
Others
6.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
RN
+3.3
NFP
-7.0
EN
-4.5
LR
+3.4
DVG
+5.0
DVD
-0.2
REC
+2.3
EXG
+0.9
ELABE – 1610 respondents – 03.06.2025-05.06.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Les Républicains higher

In 32% of election polls, ELABE rates Les Républicains higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NFP higher

In 33% of election polls, ELABE rates NFP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête lower

In 32% of election polls ELABE rates Reconquête lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from ELABE shows the following results: Rassemblement national 32.5%, NFP 21%, Ensemble 15.5%, Les Républicains 10%, Divers gauche 6.5%, Divers droite 3.5%, Reconquête 3% and Extrême gauche 2%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Divers gauche might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. NFP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 27.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by ELABE. For this purpose, 1610 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (03.06.2025 - 05.06.2025).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
EXG
12
2.1%
NFP
129
22.4%
DVG
40
6.9%
EN
95
16.5%
LR
61
10.6%
RN
200
34.7%
DVD
21
3.6%
REC
19
3.3%
Rassemblement national + NFP
57.0%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
51.1%
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche + Divers droite
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by ELABE. The survey took place between 03.06.2025 and 05.06.2025 among 1610 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 32.5%, NFP 21%, Ensemble 15.5%, Les Républicains 10%, Divers gauche 6.5%, Divers droite 3.5%, Reconquête 3% and Extrême gauche 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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