France: Poll by Ifop from 04.06.2025

France: Polling data

RN
35.0
±0.0
NFP
21.0
+2.0
EN
18.0
+3.0
LR
11.0
-1.0
DVG
7.0
+4.5
DVD
2.0
+1.0
REC
2.0
-1.0
DLF
1.0
±0.0
EXG
0.5
+0.5
Others
2.5
-9.0
Development since the last election on 30.06.2024
RN
+5.8
NFP
-7.0
EN
-2.0
LR
+4.4
DVG
+5.5
DVD
-1.7
REC
+1.3
DLF
New
EXG
-0.6
Ifop – 1385 respondents – 03.06.2025-04.06.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Rassemblement national higher

In 44% of election polls, Ifop rates Rassemblement national higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reconquête higher

In 38% of election polls, Ifop rates Reconquête higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

France - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in France from Ifop shows the following results: Rassemblement national 35%, NFP 21%, Ensemble 18%, Les Républicains 11%, Divers gauche 7%, Divers droite 2%, Reconquête 2%, Debout la France 1% and Extrême gauche 0.5%. If an election were held in France this Sunday, Rassemblement national might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.8 growth since the last election. NFP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

François Bayrou is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ensemble and Les Républicains. With 29.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ifop. For this purpose, 1385 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (03.06.2025 - 04.06.2025).

Coalition possibilities

577
Majority requires 289 seats
EXG
3
0.5%
NFP
124
21.5%
DVG
41
7.1%
EN
107
18.5%
LR
65
11.3%
RN
207
35.9%
DVD
12
2.1%
DLF
6
1%
REC
12
2.1%
Rassemblement national + NFP
57.4%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
54.4%
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains + Divers droite + Debout la France
50.3%
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche + Divers droite + Debout la France
50.3%
Rassemblement national + Les Républicains + Divers droite
49.2%
NFP + Ensemble + Divers gauche + Divers droite
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in France was conducted by Ifop. The survey took place between 03.06.2025 and 04.06.2025 among 1385 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Rassemblement national 35%, NFP 21%, Ensemble 18%, Les Républicains 11%, Divers gauche 7%, Divers droite 2%, Reconquête 2%, Debout la France 1% and Extrême gauche 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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