Latest voting intention survey by Savanta for Georgia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Georgia conducted by Savanta, the parties received the following results: GD 35%, CfC 19%, Unity 16%, SG 9%, ForGeo 8%, AP 3%, Girchi 3% and LP 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1520 people during the period 20.10.2024 - 20.10.2024. The survey was commissioned by Mtavari Arkhi.
1520 participants
11.10.2024 - 20.10.2024
Savanta
Mtavari Arkhi
Development since the last election on 26.10.2024
GD
35.0
-1.0
CfC
19.0
+1.0
Unity
16.0
+2.0
SG
9.0
+1.0
ForGeo
8.0
-2.0
AP
3.0
±0.0
Gi
3.0
±0.0
LP
2.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
GD
61
40.7%
SG
15
10%
ForGeo
13
8.7%
CfC
33
22%
Unity
28
18.7%
GD + CfC
GD + Unity
GD + SG
CfC + Unity + SG
GD + ForGeo
CfC + Unity + ForGeo
?
PolitPro Score
Savanta achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
4.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Savanta pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 4.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
4.87
|
Parliamentary Election in Georgien 2024 | 2/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.