Election trends and current polls for Baden-Wuerttemberg

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
Grüne
35%
+3.7
CDU
23.7%
-3.1
AfD
13.8%
+1
SPD
11%
+0.5
FDP
7.3%
-1.5
Linke
4.8%
+1
Sonstige
4.4%
-1.6
Changes to last election from 13.03.2016
Grüne
+4.7
CDU
-3.3
AfD
-1.3
SPD
-1.7
FDP
-1.0
Linke
+1.9
Political orientation
Grüne
nature
CDU
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AfD
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SPD
arrow_back_ios
FDP
zoom_out_map
Linke
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Landtag von Baden-Württemberg
Infratest dimap - 12.03.2020
36%
-2
CDU
23%
-3
AfD
14%
+2
SPD
11%
+3
FDP
7%
-1
5%
+2
4%
-1
Landtag von Baden-Württemberg
INSA - 30.10.2019
30%
+2
CDU
27%
±0
AfD
13%
+1
SPD
11%
±0
FDP
9%
-1
4%
-2
6%
+2
Landtag von Baden-Württemberg
Infratest dimap - 19.09.2019
38%
+6
CDU
26%
-2
AfD
12%
+1
SPD
8%
-4
FDP
8%
-1
3%
-1
5%
+1
Landtag von Baden-Württemberg
INSA - 10.05.2019
28%
-1
CDU
27%
±0
AfD
12%
±0
SPD
11%
-2
FDP
10%
+1
6%
+1
FW
2%
±0
4%
-1
Landtag von Baden-Württemberg
Infratest dimap - 28.03.2019
32%
+3
CDU
28%
±0
AfD
11%
-4
SPD
12%
+1
FDP
9%
+2
4%
-3
4%
+1
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Grüne + CDU
64.6%
Grüne + AfD + FDP
61.7%
Ampelkoalition
58.6%
Grüne + AfD
53.7%
Rot-Grün
50.6%
CDU + AfD + FDP
49.3%
Grün-liberale Koalition
46.5%
CDU + SPD + FDP
46.2%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
Grüne
CDU
AfD
SPD
FDP
Linke
FW

Last election

The results of the last election from 13.03.2016
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 30.3% 6.1% 47 11
CDU 27.0% -12% 42 -18
AfD 15.1% 15.1% 23 23
SPD 12.7% -10.4% 19 -16
FDP 8.3% 3% 12 5
Die Linke 2.9% 0.1% 0 0
ÖDP 0.7% 0.6% 0 0
NPD 0.4% 0.3% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.4% -1.7% 0 0
Die PARTEI 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Republikaner 0.3% -0.8% 0 0
In the last election of the 13.03.2016 143 representatives from 5 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election takes place on 14.03.2021.