Election trends and current polls for Bavaria

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
CSU
46.9%
+1.1
Grüne
15.9%
-2.6
FW
8.7%
+0.4
AfD
7.1%
-0.5
SPD
9.9%
+0.3
FDP
3%
-0.1
Linke
3%
-0.2
Sonstige
5.5%
+1.6
Changes to last election from 14.10.2018
CSU
+9.7
Grüne
-1.7
FW
-2.9
AfD
-3.1
SPD
+0.2
FDP
-2.1
Linke
-0.2
Political orientation
CSU
arrow_forward_ios
Grüne
nature
FW
arrow_forward_ios
AfD
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
SPD
arrow_back_ios
FDP
zoom_out_map
Linke
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Bayerischer Landtag
GMS - 05.05.2020
CSU
47%
+9
15%
-5
FW
9%
-2
AfD
7%
-4
SPD
10%
+1
FDP
3%
±0
3%
-1
5%
+2
Bayerischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 08.04.2020
CSU
49%
+13
17%
-8
FW
8%
-2
AfD
6%
-4
SPD
10%
+3
3%
±0
7%
+2
Bayerischer Landtag
Civey - 06.04.2020
CSU
44.1%
+7.7
19.6%
-1.2
FW
8.1%
-1.6
AfD
8.6%
+0.3
SPD
9.3%
-1
FDP
3.1%
-2.7
3.2%
-0.1
4%
-1.4
Bayerischer Landtag
GMS - 25.02.2020
CSU
38%
±0
20%
±0
FW
11%
+1
AfD
11%
+1
SPD
9%
+1
FDP
3%
-3
4%
±0
3%
±0
Bayerischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 15.01.2020
CSU
36%
+1
25%
+4
FW
10%
-3
AfD
10%
+2
SPD
7%
-2
FDP
4%
-2
3%
±0
5%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CSU
53%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
CSU
Grüne
FW
AfD
SPD
FDP
Linke

Last election

The results of the last election from 14.10.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
CSU 37.2% -10.5% 85 -16
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.6% 9% 38 20
Freie Wähler 11.6% 2.6% 27 8
AfD 10.2% 10.2% 22 22
SPD 9.7% -10.9% 22 -20
FDP 5.1% 1.8% 11 11
Die Linke 3.2% 1.1% 0 0
Bayernpartei 1.7% -0.4% 0 0
ÖDP 1.6% -0.4% 0 0
Die PARTEI 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.4% -1.6% 0 0
Mut 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
V-Partei³ 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Partei für Franken 0.2% -0.5% 0 0
In the last election of the 14.10.2018 205 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.