Election trends and current polls for Brandenburg

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SPD
22.2%
-0.6
AfD
19.6%
-1.8
CDU
15.1%
-0.5
Grüne
14.3%
+1
Linke
14.5%
+1.2
BVB/FW
6%
+1.2
FDP
4%
-1
Sonstige
4.3%
+0.5
Changes to last election from 01.09.2019
SPD
-4.0
AfD
-3.9
CDU
-0.5
Grüne
+3.5
Linke
+3.8
BVB/FW
+1.0
FDP
-0.1
Political orientation
SPD
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AfD
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CDU
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Grüne
nature
Linke
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BVB/FW
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FDP
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Brandenburgischer Landtag
Forsa - 26.02.2020
SPD
22%
+5
AfD
18%
-3
CDU
14%
-4
15%
-1
15%
+1
7%
+3
FDP
3%
-2
6%
+1
Brandenburgischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 19.11.2019
SPD
25%
+3
AfD
22%
±0
CDU
14%
-4
12%
±0
12%
-3
5%
+1
FDP
5%
±0
5%
+3
Brandenburgischer Landtag
FSG Wahlen - 29.08.2019
SPD
22%
+1
CDU
16.5%
-1.5
14%
±0
AfD
21%
+1
14.5%
+0.5
FDP
5%
±0
4%
±0
3%
-1
Brandenburgischer Landtag
Civey - 28.08.2019
SPD
20.3%
+2
CDU
17.9%
+0.9
15.5%
+0.7
AfD
20.3%
-0.7
14.8%
-2.4
FDP
4.9%
-0.6
6.3%
+0.1
Brandenburgischer Landtag
INSA - 27.08.2019
SPD
21%
+2
CDU
17%
-1
15%
-1
AfD
21%
+2
14%
-2
FDP
5%
-1
5%
+2
2%
-1
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
SPD + CDU + Grüne + BVB/FW + FDP
64.4%
AfD + CDU + Grüne + BVB/FW + FDP
61.7%
SPD + CDU + Grüne + BVB/FW
60.2%
SPD + CDU + Grüne + FDP
58.1%
Liberale Links-Koalition
57.5%
AfD + CDU + Grüne + BVB/FW
57.5%
AfD + CDU + Grüne + FDP
55.4%
SPD + CDU + Grüne
53.9%
Rot-Rot-Grün
53.3%
AfD + CDU + Grüne
51.2%
SPD + CDU + BVB/FW + FDP
49.5%
SPD + Grüne + BVB/FW + FDP
48.6%
AfD + CDU + BVB/FW + FDP
46.8%
AfD + Grüne + BVB/FW + FDP
45.9%
SPD + CDU + BVB/FW
45.3%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is %.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SPD
AfD
CDU
Grüne
Linke
BVB/FW
FDP

Last election

The results of the last election from 01.09.2019
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
SPD 26.2% -5.7% 25 -5
AfD 23.5% 11.3% 23 12
CDU 15.6% -7.4% 15 -6
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10.8% 4.6% 10 4
Die Linke 10.7% -7.9% 10 -7
BVB/FW 5.0% 2.3% 5 2
FDP 4.1% 2.6% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 2.6% 2.6% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.7% -0.8% 0 0
ÖDP 0.6% 0.6% 0 0
V-Partei³ 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 01.09.2019 88 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2024.