Official Final Results for Germany's General Election

General election in Germany 2021

German Election Results: September 26, 2021

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Bundestag election is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 76.6%.

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

The current government could maintain its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 54.8% of the seats.

SPD + Grüne + FDP
Left
56.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
Centre
55.4%
SPD + CDU/CSU
Centre
54.8%
CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD
Centre-Right
50.5%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
Left
49.5%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
Left
49.4%
SPD + Grüne
Left
44.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
Centre
42.9%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

?

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

The final poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
0.63

Allensbach

The final poll by Allensbach deviated by an average of 0.63 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    +0.3
  • CDU/CSU
    +0.9
  • Grüne
    +1.2
  • FDP
    -1.0
  • AfD
    -0.3
  • Linke
    +0.1
0.82

Civey

The final poll by Civey deviated by an average of 0.82 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -1.1
  • Grüne
    +1.2
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • AfD
    -0.3
  • Linke
    +1.1
0.82

Infratest dimap

The final poll by Infratest dimap deviated by an average of 0.82 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    +0.3
  • CDU/CSU
    -2.1
  • Grüne
    +0.2
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • FDP
    -0.5
  • Linke
    +1.1
0.97

INSA

The final poll by INSA deviated by an average of 0.97 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -2.1
  • Grüne
    +0.2
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • Linke
    +1.6
0.98

Institut Wahlkreisprognose

The final poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose deviated by an average of 0.98 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.2
  • CDU/CSU
    -1.6
  • Grüne
    -0.8
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • Linke
    +2.1
1.05

GMS

The final poll by GMS deviated by an average of 1.05 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -1.1
  • Grüne
    +1.2
  • FDP
    +1.5
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • Linke
    +1.1
1.15

Ipsos

The final poll by Ipsos deviated by an average of 1.15 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    +0.3
  • CDU/CSU
    -2.1
  • Grüne
    +1.2
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • Linke
    +2.1
1.15

Forsa

The final poll by Forsa deviated by an average of 1.15 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -2.1
  • Grüne
    +2.2
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • AfD
    -0.3
  • Linke
    +1.1
1.15

Trend Research Hamburg

The final poll by Trend Research Hamburg deviated by an average of 1.15 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    +1.3
  • CDU/CSU
    -2.1
  • Grüne
    +0.2
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • FDP
    -0.5
  • Linke
    +2.1
1.38

Verian

The final poll by Verian deviated by an average of 1.38 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -3.1
  • Grüne
    +1.2
  • AfD
    +0.7
  • FDP
    -0.5
  • Linke
    +2.1
1.48

YouGov

The final poll by YouGov deviated by an average of 1.48 percentage points per party from the actual German election results.
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • CDU/CSU
    -3.1
  • Grüne
    -0.8
  • AfD
    +1.7
  • FDP
    -0.5
  • Linke
    +2.1

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

SPD

Social Democratic Party of Germany
Social Democratic
Pro EU
25.7
+5.2

CDU/CSU

Christian Democratic Union / Christian Social Union
Christian Democratic
Pro EU
24.1
-8.8

Grüne

Alliance 90 / The Greens
Green
Pro EU
14.8
+5.9

FDP

Free Democratic Party
Liberal
Pro EU
11.5
+0.8

AfD

Alternative for Germany
Right-wing Populist
Anti-EU
10.3
-2.3

Die Linke

The Left
Left-wing
4.9
-4.3

Freie Wähler

Free Voters
Conservative
2.4
+1.4

Tierschutzpartei

Human, Climate, Animal Welfare Party
Animal Welfare
Left
1.5
+0.7

dieBasis

Grassroots Democratic Party Germany
Big-tent party
Anti-EU
1.4
+1.4

Die PARTEI

The PARTY
Satire
Left
Anti-EU
1.0
±0.0

Team Todenhöfer

Team Todenhöfer – The Justice Party
Big-tent party
0.5
+0.5

Volt

Volt Europa
Centre
0.4
+0.4

Piratenpartei

Pirate Party Germany
Centre-Left
Pro EU
0.4
±0.0

Other Parties

Other Parties
Unknown
8.7
+4.2

ÖDP

Ecological Democratic Party
Green
Centre-Right
0.2
-0.1

Südschleswigscher Wählerverband

South Schleswig Voters' Association
Regional
Centre-Left
0.1
+0.1

Bündnis C

Alliance C – Christians for Germany
Unknown
0.1
+0.1

Partei der Humanisten

Party of Humanists
Unknown
0.1
+0.1

Bayernpartei

Bavarian Party
Conservative
Pro EU
0.1
±0.0

Partei für Verjüngungsforschung

Party for Rejuvenation Research
Big-tent party
0.1
±0.0

V-Partei³

V-Party³ - Party for Change, Vegetarians and Vegans
Unknown
0.1
±0.0

Die Heimat

National Democratic Party of Germany
Right-wing Populist
Anti-EU
0.1
-0.3

Bündnis 21

Alliance 21
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

Bürgerbewegung

Citizen Movement for Progress and Change
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

Bürgerrechtsbewegung Solidarität

Civil Rights Movement Solidarity
Big-tent party
< 0.1
±0.0

Die Grauen – Graue Panther

The Greys — Grey Panthers
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

Die Urbane

The Urban. A HipHop Party
Left
< 0.1
±0.0

DKP-DRP

German Conservative Party
Right
< 0.1
±0.0

Gartenpartei

Garden Party
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

Gleichheitspartei

Socialist Equality Party, Fourth International
Unknown
< 0.1
±0.0

III. Weg

The Third Way
Far-Right
< 0.1
±0.0

LIEBE

European Party LOVE
Unknown
< 0.1
±0.0

LKR

Liberal-Conservative Reformers
Centre-Right
< 0.1
±0.0

Lobbyisten für Kinder

Party for Children, Youth and Families - Lobbyists for Children
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

MENSCHLICHE WELT

Human World – for the Well-being and Happiness of All
Unknown
< 0.1
±0.0

Partei des Fortschritts

Party of Progress
Liberal
Centre-Left
< 0.1
±0.0

Unabhängige

Independents for Citizen-Oriented Democracy
Centre
< 0.1
±0.0

Demokratie in Bewegung

Democracy in Movement
Left
< 0.1
-0.1

MLPD

Marxist-Leninist Party of Germany
Far-Left
< 0.1
-0.1

Tierschutzallianz

Alliance for Human Rights, Animal and Nature Protection
Unknown
< 0.1
-0.1

Data Sources and Methodology

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”