Election trends and current polls for Hamburg

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SPD
39.2%
±0
CDU
11.2%
±0
Grüne
24.2%
±0
Linke
9.1%
±0
FDP
4.9%
±0
AfD
5.3%
±0
PARTEI
1.4%
±0
Volt
1.3%
±0
Sonstige
3.4%
±0
Changes to last election from 23.02.2020
SPD
±0.0
CDU
±0.0
Grüne
±0.0
Linke
±0.0
FDP
±0.0
AfD
±0.0
PARTEI
±0.0
Volt
±0.0
Political orientation
SPD
arrow_back_ios
CDU
arrow_forward_ios
Grüne
nature
Linke
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
FDP
zoom_out_map
AfD
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
PARTEI
mood
Volt
arrow_back_ios

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Hamburgische Bürgerschaft
FSG Wahlen - 20.02.2020
SPD
39%
+2
CDU
12%
-1
24%
-1
8.5%
+0.5
FDP
5%
+0.5
AfD
6%
-1
5.5%
±0
Hamburgische Bürgerschaft
Universität Hamburg - 20.02.2020
SPD
34%
-1
CDU
12%
-3
32%
+3
7%
-2
FDP
6%
±0
AfD
5%
+1
5%
+2
Hamburgische Bürgerschaft
Civey - 19.02.2020
SPD
35.4%
+5.2
CDU
13.8%
-1.9
24.5%
-0.4
8.6%
±0
FDP
5.2%
-2
AfD
7.9%
+1
4.6%
-1.9
Hamburgische Bürgerschaft
INSA - 19.02.2020
SPD
38%
+13
CDU
13%
-4
23%
-3
8%
-4
FDP
5%
-3
AfD
7%
-1
6%
+2
Hamburgische Bürgerschaft
FSG Wahlen - 14.02.2020
SPD
37%
±0
CDU
13%
±0
25%
±0
8%
±0
FDP
4.5%
±0
AfD
7%
±0
5.5%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Rot-Grün
71.2%
SPD + CDU
56.6%
Rote Koalition
54.2%
Grüne + CDU + AfD
45.8%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SPD
CDU
Grüne
Linke
FDP
AfD
PARTEI
Volt

Last election

The results of the last election from 23.02.2020
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SPD 39.2% -6.4% 54 -4
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24.2% 11.9% 33 18
CDU 11.2% -4.7% 15 -5
Die Linke 9.1% 0.6% 13 2
AfD 5.3% -0.8% 7 -1
FDP 4.9% -2.5% 1 -8
Die PARTEI 1.4% 0.5% 0 0
Volt 1.3% 1.3% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.7% 0.7% 0 0
ÖDP 0.7% 0.3% 0 0
Freie Wähler 0.6% 0.6% 0 0
TIERSCHUTZ hier! 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.5% -1.1% 0 0
Die Humanisten 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
Gesundheitsforschung 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 23.02.2020 123 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2025.