Latest polls from Civey
Accuracy in elections
On average, party poll results in Civey pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Civey's average ranking is 3.7.
1x the second best prediction
4x the third best prediction
3x on rank 4
1x on rank 5
0x on rank 6
1x on rank 7
1x on rank 8
Rating of parties
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.