Current election polls and polling data from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

Latest voting intention survey by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for the Bundestag election

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 26%, AfD 24%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 4% and BSW 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1322 people during the period 10.04.2025 - 10.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
1322 participants
08.04.2025 - 10.04.2025
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen
ZDF-Politbarometer
Union
26.0
-1.0
AfD
24.0
+2.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
Linke
10.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
BSW
3.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0

Seats in parliament

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
72
11.4%
SPD
108
17.1%
Grüne
87
13.8%
Union
189
30%
AfD
174
27.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
61.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.1%

87

PolitPro Score

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen achieves a score of 87/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Latest voting intention surveys by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen for the federal states

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AfD
12
83
5
BSW
28
69
3
CDU/CSU
11
71
18
FDP
20
78
2
Grüne
4
58
38
Linke
4
89
7
SPD
11
76
13

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.

ZDF Politikbarometer

Forschungsgruppen Wahlen traditionally collects polling data for the ZDF Politbarometer. The Politbarometer is a monthly program of ZDF, which surveys the current mood on political issues in Germany. In the telephone interviews, around forty questions are asked, some with, some without answer specifications. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen also provides all forecasts and analyses for the ZDF election broadcasts.