Upcoming elections:

Current election polls by GMS

Latest polls from GMS

Rating of parties

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in GMS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, GMS's average ranking is 6.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8