Current election polls and polling data from Infratest dimap

Latest voting intention survey by Infratest dimap for the Bundestag election

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by Infratest dimap, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 23%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1292 people during the period 03.06.2025 - 03.06.2025. The survey was commissioned by ARD.
1292 participants
02.06.2025 - 03.06.2025
Infratest dimap
ARD
Union
29.0
+2.0
AfD
23.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
12.0
+1.0
Linke
9.0
-1.0
BSW
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
-1.0

Seats in parliament

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
64
10.2%
SPD
107
17%
Grüne
86
13.7%
Union
208
33%
AfD
165
26.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
63.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
50.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
46.7%

85

PolitPro Score

Infratest dimap achieves a score of 85/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Latest voting intention surveys by Infratest dimap for the federal states

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AfD
8
83
9
BSW
9
86
5
CDU/CSU
9
77
14
FDP
4
93
3
Grüne
4
80
16
Linke
7
90
3
SPD
13
80
7

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.

ARD-Deutschlandtrend

The ARD-Deutschlandtrend is a monthly political opinion poll that has been conducted since 1997 in a representative telephone survey of around 1000 to 1500 randomly selected eligible Germans. The ARD Deutschlandtrend is surveyed by the Infratest dimap institute and presented on the Tagesthemen program on German television. A historical overview of past opinion polls can also be found on the Infratest dimap website.