Latest polls from Infratest dimap
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
On average, party poll results in Infratest dimap pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Infratest dimap's average ranking is 3.0.
4x the most accurate prediction
4x the second best prediction
7x the third best prediction
3x on rank 5
1x on rank 6
The ARD-Deutschlandtrend is a monthly political opinion poll that has been conducted since 1997 in a representative telephone survey of around 1000 to 1500 randomly selected eligible Germans. The ARD Deutschlandtrend is surveyed by the Infratest dimap institute and presented on the Tagesthemen program on German television. A historical overview of past opinion polls can also be found on the Infratest dimap website.