Latest voting intention survey by Infratest dimap for the Bundestag election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by Infratest dimap, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 23%, SPD 13%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1312 people during the period 02.07.2025 - 02.07.2025. The survey was commissioned by ARD.
1312 participants
30.06.2025 - 02.07.2025
Infratest dimap
ARD
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Seats in parliament
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
72
11.4%
SPD
93
14.8%
Grüne
85
13.5%
Union
215
34.1%
AfD
165
26.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU + Grüne
85
PolitPro Score
Infratest dimap achieves a score of 85/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Infratest dimap for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Infratest dimap pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
ARD-Deutschlandtrend
The ARD-Deutschlandtrend is a monthly political opinion poll that has been conducted since 1997 in a representative telephone survey of around 1000 to 1500 randomly selected eligible Germans. The ARD Deutschlandtrend is surveyed by the Infratest dimap institute and presented on the Tagesthemen program on German television. A historical overview of past opinion polls can also be found on the Infratest dimap website.