Current election polls and polling data from INSA

Latest voting intention survey by INSA for the Bundestag election

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by INSA, the parties received the following results: AfD 25%, CDU/CSU 25%, SPD 15%, Grüne 11%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 5% and FDP 3.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2010 people during the period 22.04.2025 - 22.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by BILD.
2010 participants
17.04.2025 - 22.04.2025
INSA
BILD
AfD
25.0
+1.0
Union
25.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
11.0
±0.0
Linke
10.0
±0.0
BSW
5.0
±0.0
FDP
3.5
-0.5
Others
5.5
+0.5

Seats in parliament

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
69
11%
SPD
104
16.5%
Grüne
76
12.1%
BSW
34
5.4%
Union
173
27.5%
AfD
174
27.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
56.0%
AfD + CDU/CSU
55.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
49.4%

81

PolitPro Score

INSA achieves a score of 81/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Latest voting intention surveys by INSA for the federal states

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AfD
4
69
27
BSW
1
59
40
CDU/CSU
19
71
10
FDP
1
81
18
Grüne
35
62
3
Linke
2
87
10
SPD
10
78
13

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.

INSA-Consulere

INSA-Consulere, often called INSA for short, is a market and social research institute founded in 2009. It is best known for its Sunday poll, which is published every week in Bild-Zeitung, Bild am Sonntag and bild.de. INSA collects polls on federal elections, state elections and local elections.