Current election polls by Institut Wahlkreisprognose

Latest polls from Institut Wahlkreisprognose

Germany
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
34
18.5
15
5
4
2.5
2.5
7.5
Brandenburg
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
28
27
13.5
12.5
4.5
3.5
0.5
6.5
Brandenburg
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
30
20.5
15
14.5
5.5
4.5
3.5
1
5.5
Thuringia
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
31
22.5
17.5
14
5
2.5
7.5
Saxony
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
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Rating of parties

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 33% of election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower

In 77% of election polls Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CSU higher

In 35% of election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Institut Wahlkreisprognose pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.

Average ranking

Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose's average ranking is 4.1.
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constituency forecasts

The institute Wahlkreisprognose is a young opinion research institute that regularly collects poll data on federal elections as well as state elections. In addition, the institute calculates data down to the constituency level. Among experts, however, the reliability of such fine surveys is disputed.