Latest polls from Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Accuracy in elections
On average, party poll results in Institut Wahlkreisprognose pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose's average ranking is 3.2.
2x the most accurate prediction
1x the second best prediction
1x the third best prediction
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Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
The institute Wahlkreisprognose is a young opinion research institute that regularly collects poll data on federal elections as well as state elections. In addition, the institute calculates data down to the constituency level. Among experts, however, the reliability of such fine surveys is disputed.