Latest voting intention survey by pollytix for the Bundestag election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by pollytix, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 19%, SPD 17%, Grüne 14%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 5% and FDP 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1501 people during the period 12.02.2025 - 12.02.2025.
1501 participants
11.02.2025 - 12.02.2025
pollytix
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
29.0
-1.0
AfD
19.0
-1.0
SPD
17.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
+2.0
Linke
6.0
±0.0
BSW
5.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
42
6.7%
SPD
119
18.9%
Grüne
98
15.6%
BSW
35
5.6%
Union
203
32.2%
AfD
133
21.1%
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU + Grüne
73
PolitPro Score
pollytix achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by pollytix for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in pollytix pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.21
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025 | 8/11 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.