Upcoming elections:

Current election polls by Trend Research Hamburg

Latest polls from Trend Research Hamburg

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 42% of election polls Trend Research Hamburg rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 50% of election polls, Trend Research Hamburg rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Trend Research Hamburg pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Trend Research Hamburg's average ranking is 7.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
0x the second best prediction
0x the third best prediction
0x on rank 4
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