Polls and info about Wahlkreisprognose

Latest polls from Wahlkreisprognose

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Wahlkreisprognose pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Wahlkreisprognose's average ranking is 3.2.
1x the second best prediction
1x the third best prediction
0x on rank 4
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Rating of parties

Institute often rates CDU/CSU lower
In 71% of election polls Wahlkreisprognose rates CDU/CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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