Latest voting intention survey by YouGov for the Bundestag election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Germany conducted by YouGov, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 26%, AfD 24%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 5% and FDP 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2144 people during the period 24.03.2025 - 24.03.2025.
2144 participants
21.03.2025 - 24.03.2025
YouGov
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Seats in parliament
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
68
10.8%
SPD
103
16.3%
Grüne
82
13%
BSW
34
5.4%
Union
178
28.3%
AfD
165
26.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
76
PolitPro Score
YouGov achieves a score of 76/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by YouGov for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in YouGov pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.61
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025 | 1/11 |
|
2.8
|
Parliamentary Election in Nordrhein-Westfalen 2022 | 7/7 |
|
1.48
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2021 | 12/12 |
|
2.1
|
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2017 | 10/10 |
|
2.02
|
Parliamentary Election in Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 | 6/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.