The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Forsa: latest poll for the German Bundestag election, fieldwork concluded 10 August 2026.
Changes since the last election on 23 February 2025
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 37.1% of the parliamentary seats.
In the latest German voting intention poll from Forsa, AfD leads with 28%, followed by CDU/CSU with 21%, Grüne with 16%, Die Linke with 12%, SPD with 12% and FDP with 4%. Other parties achieve 7% of the votes.
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
10 election comparisons
Last on 31 August 2026
No significant deviations from the Election Trend
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Select parties to test coalitions.
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.
Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.
Based on this poll, 5 parties would surpass the electoral threshold to enter the Bundestag: AfD with 198 seats, CDU/CSU with 149 seats, Grüne with 113 seats, Die Linke with 85 seats and SPD with 85 seats.
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