Brandenburg: Poll by Policy Matters from 06.12.2018

Brandenburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
23.0
±0.0
CDU
21.0
±0.0
AfD
21.0
±0.0
Linke
18.0
±0.0
Grüne
10.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
SPD
-7.9
CDU
+8.9
AfD
-8.2
Linke
+15.0
Grüne
+5.9
FDP
+2.2
Policy Matters – 1006 respondents – 19.11.2018-06.12.2018

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Brandenburg from Policy Matters shows the following results: SPD 23%, CDU 21%, AfD 21%, Die Linke 18%, Grüne 10% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.0 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD and BSW. With 25.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Policy Matters. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (19.11.2018 - 06.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
17
19.3%
SPD
22
25%
Grüne
9
10.2%
CDU
20
22.7%
AfD
20
22.7%
SPD + CDU + Die Linke + Grüne
77.3%
SPD + CDU + Grüne
58.0%
SPD + Die Linke + Grüne
54.5%
SPD + CDU
47.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Policy Matters. The survey took place between 19.11.2018 and 06.12.2018 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 23%, CDU 21%, AfD 21%, Die Linke 18%, Grüne 10% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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